Birthday party, cheesecake, jelly bean, BOOM!

Editor’s note: Watch this space for an analysis of the new EdChoice study coming later this week from reimaginED contributor Patrick Gibbons.

A delightful new study from EdChoice titled, “Who’s Afraid of School Choice?” documents a sampling of some of the innumerable times school choice opponents have predicted the destruction of public education due to passage of education choice programs.

Here are some predictions of doom highlights.

Here is what actually happened in terms of public-school results in these states:

If this is the end of the world as we know it, I feel fine!

You might think decades of making Chicken Little arguments and predictions on outcomes that never came to pass might deter opponents, but the study shows you would be mistaken. EdChoice’s analysis of statements these opponents made in 2021 indicate the apocalyptic rhetoric flowed freely, regardless of whether the education choice proposal was expansive, as in West Virginia, or very modest, as in Arkansas.

Ergo, if you’re aiming to pass choice legislation, you may as well go big, because your opponents will accuse you of destroying public education regardless.


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BY Matthew Ladner

Matthew Ladner is executive editor of NextSteps. He has written numerous studies on school choice, charter schools and special education reform, and his articles have appeared in Education Next; the Catholic Education: A Journal of Inquiry and Practice; and the British Journal of Political Science. He is a graduate of the University of Texas at Austin and received a master's degree and a Ph.D. in political science from the University of Houston. He lives in Phoenix with his wife and three children.